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The Week in Review: Performance updates from Cabana’s CEO – August 7, 2018

6 years ago

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Cabana’s seven portfolios range from “Conservative” to “Aggressive” and include an income strategy and an “Accumulator” portfolio. Performance below is as of market close on August 6, 2018 and is presented net of maximum advisory fees and commissions (2%).

All Cabana Core Portfolios were up for the week. Our lower beta portfolios led the way, as international exposure continues to weigh on the other portfolios. The Alpha Income Portfolio was up 0.90% while the Accumulator Portfolio brought up the rear and was up 0.22%.

Domestic equity markets had a good week as strong earnings overshadowed the ongoing talk of trade war with our European partners and China. Foreign markets have not done so well and continue to sell off as their currencies are losing ground to the U.S. dollar. While a strong dollar represents the relative strength of the US economy, it is problematic for companies that export abroad – and especially difficult for international economies that are tied to commodities. All of this is very much related to the potential impacts of trade tariffs and is compounded by the fact that the U.S. is growing faster than other developed nations. Ultimately, the fact remains that the world economy is interconnected and long term growth here will require cooperation with and participation by other economies. In my opinion, we need other countries’ equity markets to catch up for our market to continue to move forward. Do not forget – it is earnings that drive price and we need the whole world participating to maximize earnings.

Now for some good news. The S&P 500 is poised to test 2018’s January highs. This would formally provide a resumption of the bull market in stocks. At the same time, Dow Industrial and Transport indexes are breaking out to new post-correction highs. We have mentioned this “Dow Theory” indicator several times and it is now confirmed. On Tuesday of this week, there was a big bounce in China and a bounce in European stocks. While there was similar buying two weeks ago and it did not last, I am hopeful that all the pundits now suggesting the demise of those markets is an indicator that the selling is overdone. I am a big believer that if we hear about it on every channel the move is already over. We remain moderately bullish. Our COO Chris Carns likes to make fun of me and suggests that we change our bullish position from moderately bullish to “sheepishly bullish”. He is a funny guy, but I am sticking with moderately bullish for now!

Year-to-date net-of-fees performance:

CONSERVATIVE: +1.00%

MODERATE: +1.37%

BALANCED: +1.33%

GROWTH: +0.89%

AGGRESSIVE: +1.01%

ALPHA INCOME: +1.62%

ACCUMULATOR: +0.88%

Disclaimers:
 

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All written content on http://cabanaportfolio.com website (the “Website”) is for informational purposes only. The material presented is believed to be from reliable sources and no representations are made by CABANA, LLC (d/b/a “Cabana Asset Management”), Cabana Law Group, or Cabana Financial, LLC (collectively, “Cabana”) or its affiliates as to another parties’ informational accuracy or completeness. All information or ideas provided should be discussed in detail with an advisor, accountant or legal counsel prior to implementation. No party, including but not limited to, Cabana and its affiliates, assumes liability for any loss or damage resulting from errors or omissions or reliance on or use of this material.

The views and opinions expressed are those of the authors do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of Cabana or its affiliates. Any content provided by our bloggers or authors are of their opinion, and are not intended to malign any religion, ethnic group, club, organization, company, individual or anyone or anything.

Information presented is believed to be current. It should not be viewed as personalized investment advice. All expressions of opinion reflect the judgment of the authors on the date of publication and may change in response to market conditions. You should consult with a professional advisor before implementing any strategies discussed. Content should not be viewed as an offer to buy or sell any of the securities mentioned or as legal or tax advice. You should always consult an attorney or tax professional regarding your specific legal or tax situation.

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Cabana Asset Management (“CAM”) is a U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Registered Investment Advisor (RIA) with headquarters in Fayetteville, AR. CAM is in compliance with the current registration and/or notice filing requirements imposed upon SEC registered investment advisors by those states in which CAM maintains clients. CAM may only transact business in those states in which it is registered, or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration requirements. Further written disclosure information contained in SEC form ADV Part II, including registration status, fees, and services, is available upon written request. 

All performance returns are presented net-of-fees and include the reinvestment of dividends and capital gains. Benchmark comparisons are presented gross-of-fees.

Past performance may not be indicative of future returns. No current or prospective client should assume that the future performance of any specific investment or strategy will be profitable or equal to past performance levels.

All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. All strategies have different degrees of risk. There is no guarantee that any specific investment or strategy will be suitable or profitable for a particular client.

Historical performance results for investment indexes and/or categories typically do not show the impact of transaction and/or custodial charges or the deduction of an advisory fee, which may decrease historical performance results. There can be no assurances that a strategy will match or exceed its benchmark.

Some performance returns do not represent actual trading using client assets but were achieved through retroactive application of a model designed with the benefit of hindsight. Model returns have inherent limitations. Specifically, these returns do not represent actual trading and may not reflect the impact of material economic and market factors on the adviser’s decision-making if the adviser had actually managed the client’s money during this time frame.

Different types of investments involve higher and lower levels of risk. There is no guarantee that a specific investment or strategy will be suitable or profitable for an investor’s portfolio. There are no assurances that a portfolio will match or exceed any particular benchmark.

Cabana LLC manages assets on multiple custodial platforms. Performance results may vary based upon differences in associated costs and asset availability within the Cabana Model.

Detailed information as to how the returns are calculated can be obtained online from the following link https://cabanaportfolio.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/ Performance-Reporting-Methodology_July-2018.pdf.

Disclaimers

January 17, 2024

This material is prepared by Cabana LLC, dba Cabana Asset Management and/or its affiliates (together “Cabana”) for informational purposes only and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. This material may only be distributed in its original format and may not be altered or reproduced without the prior written consent of Cabana. The opinions expressed reflect the judgement of the author, are as of the date of its publication and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and nonproprietary sources deemed by Cabana to be reliable, are not necessarily all-inclusive and are not guaranteed as to accuracy. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by Cabana, its officers, employees or agents.  

“CARA” is Cabana’s Cyclical Asset Reallocation Algorithm. Scenes assigned as per the judgment of The Cabana Group. Scene names and number of scenes have changed over time in an effort to obtain efficiencies and provide clarity of investment objective. 

This material may contain ‘forward looking’ information that is not purely historical in nature. Such information may include, among other things, projections and forecasts. There is no guarantee that any forecasts made will come to pass. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of current or future results and should not be the sole factor of consideration when selecting a product or strategy. All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. All strategies have different degrees of risk. There is no guarantee that any specific investment or strategy will be suitable or profitable for a particular client. The information provided here is neither tax nor legal advice. Investors should speak to their tax professional for specific information regarding their tax situation. Investment involves risk including possible loss of principal.  

Cabana LLC, dba Cabana Asset Management (“Cabana”), is an SEC registered investment adviser with offices in Fayetteville, AR and Plano, TX. The firm only transacts business in states where it is properly registered or is exempted from registration requirements. Registration as an investment adviser is not an endorsement of the firm by securities regulators and does not mean the adviser has achieved a specific level of skill or ability. Additional information regarding Cabana, including its fees, can be found in Cabana’s Form ADV Part 2A or Form CRS. A copy of which is available upon request or online at www.adviserinfo.sec.gov/. 

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. All investment strategies have different degrees of risk and the corresponding potential for profit or loss. Asset allocation and diversification will not necessarily improve returns and cannot eliminate the risk of investment losses. “Target Drawdown” is merely a descriptive term used to describe the general strategy and objective of the portfolio, it is not a guarantee, nor should it be construed to suggest safety or protection from loss. There is no guarantee that portfolio performance will remain consistent with the targeted drawdown parameter. While risk tolerance and targeted “drawdown” are identified on the front end for each portfolio, Cabana’s algorithm does not take any one client’s situation into account and there is no guarantee that Cabana’s strategies will be suitable for any investor. Investors and advisors should not simply rely on the name of any portfolio to determine what is suitable. It is the responsibility of investment advisors to determine what is suitable for their clients. Cabana manages assets on multiple custodial platforms. Performance results for specific investors will vary based upon differences in associated costs and asset availability.  

Cabana claims compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS®). GIPS® is a trademark of the CFA Institute. The CFA Institute does not endorse or promote this organization, nor does it warrant the accuracy or quality of the content contained herein. To receive a GIPS Report and/or a firm’s list of composite/pooled fund descriptions please email your request to info@thecabanagroup.com.

All recommendations made in the prior 12 months are available upon request. Cabana’s allocation history is available here. For additional information regarding our services, including performance disclosures and award methodology, please visit https://thecabanagroup.com/disclaimers/. 

Commonly used index/benchmark definitions:  

All indices and categories are unmanaged and an individual cannot invest directly in an index or category. Index returns do not include fees or expenses. Benchmark indices will likely materially differ from Cabana’s portfolio strategies. Detailed information as to how the returns are calculated can be obtained online from the following link: https://thecabanagroup.com/disclaimers/performance-reporting-methodology/. 

Morningstar’s Moderate Target Risk index  follows a moderate equity risk preference and is based on well-established asset allocation methodology from Ibbotson Associates, a Morningstar company.  

Morningstar’s Tactical Allocation category includes portfolios that seek to provide capital appreciation and income by actively shifting allocations across investments. These portfolios have material shifts across equity regions, and bond sectors on a frequent basis. 

The S&P 500 Index is a market-capitalization weighted stock market index of 500 widely held large-cap stocks often used as a proxy for the U.S. stock market.  

The Russell 2000 and 3000 indices are market-capitalization weighted stock market indices that include, respectively, 2000 and 3000 of the most widely-held stocks and are often used as proxies for the U.S. stock market. 

The Nasdaq Composite Index is a market-weight capitalization index that covers more than 3,000 stocks listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market. What is the Nasdaq Composite, and What Companies are in It? | Nasdaq