Equity markets worldwide continue to climb in the face of dire economics. In two decades of investing I have never seen a starker example of investors immediately setting the bar for a worst-case scenario and then just as quickly repricing as if anything but the catastrophic appear inevitable. The last three months (and perhaps the… Read the full article.
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Markets Closed Up Big Today Amid Positive Coronavirus Vaccine Results: Market Commentary from Cabana’s CEO – May 18, 2020
The past week saw continued volatility as equities sold off Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday just below the 200-day moving average and right at the late April highs. Major indices opened down more than 1% on Thursday and Friday, only to make their way to positive territory by the close. This is a big positive on… Read the full article.
The Market Continues Sharp Recovery as Unemployment Reaches Remarkable Highs: Market Commentary from Cabana’s CEO – May 11, 2020
Major stock indices gained more than 3% last week, continuing a remarkable bounce off the March 23 bottom. The S&P 500 is testing both its 200-day moving average and the late April high just under 3000. The speed and size of the price gains over the past six weeks has not been seen since the… Read the full article.
Can April’s Rally Continue, or is More Economic Disruption on the Horizon?: Market Commentary from Cabana’s CEO – May 4, 2020
Equity markets finished off April with the biggest monthly gain since 1974. The huge rally followed an even bigger decline in March. Face-ripping rallies are common in bear markets, although it must be noted that this one was especially quick. The S&P 500 moved all the way back to its 200-day moving average, just below… Read the full article.
Will COVID-19 Change Our World (and our Markets) Forever?: Market Commentary from Cabana’s CEO – April 27, 2020
As our country begins to consider reopening for business, I am left wondering how we will forever be changed? Will we shake hands with new acquaintances? Will we travel for meetings or will we stay put and Zoom? Will home delivery of food, groceries and other goods become the norm? Will college education be an… Read the full article.
We’re mixing things up this week. The below commentary is a compilation of the questions and answers that came out of a monthly webinar our team hosted last week with professional advisors around the country. The advisors that participated are currently using our portfolios for their own clients, and in my opinion, had some very… Read the full article.
The Investment Process Magnified to the Tenth Degree: Market Commentary from Cabana’s CEO – April 13, 2020
Investors in markets of all types continue to try and assess the damage to corporate earnings that will be seen over the next few months as a result of the coronavirus. This analysis leads to repricing of all assets, not merely stocks. It is very important to understand that investments across all major asset classes… Read the full article.
Market Swings Continue Among Coronavirus Optimism: Market Commentary from Cabana’s CEO – April 7, 2020
Equity markets continue to experience wild swings in both directions. Last week, we saw two big up days, mixed in with three down days. The S&P 500 finished down 2.5% for the week and down almost 25% year-to-date. Yesterday (April 6), those same markets jumped 7% in the face of dire economic predictions, resulting from the… Read the full article.
Americans Come Together as Markets Close Out Worst Quarter Since 1987: Market Commentary from Cabana’s CEO – March 30, 2020
Stock markets around the world are trying to stabilize after the historic drop we have seen this month. Swings of 4% a day have been the rule for more than three weeks now. The S&P 500 enters the last day of March down 19% for the year and down 12.5% for the month. This makes… Read the full article.
U.S. Economy and Day-to-Day Life Comes to a Complete and Sudden Halt: Market Commentary from Cabana’s CEO – March 23, 2020
On behalf of everyone here at Cabana, I want to wish our clients, investor partners and friends good health and peace at this time. What we are collectively facing as a nation is in many ways unprecedented. Never has our economy and day-to-day life come to a sudden and complete halt. In the coming months, we will see many… Read the full article.
U.S. and international equity markets dropped 11% just today and are down almost 20% this month alone. Year to date, the S&P 500 is down more than 25%. COVID-19 started in January as something that had the remote possibility of causing problems here in the United States. Today, less than three months later it has… Read the full article.
All True Investing Takes Process and Perspective: Market Commentary from Cabana’s CEO – March 9, 2020
Given the continued bloodbath we are seeing in stocks, this commentary serves as follow up to the Special Report we released just over a week ago, on February 29. In that report, we noted that an explosive rally was likely early the week of March 2, due to short covering and extreme oversold conditions. We… Read the full article.
Stocks Bounce Back After Last Week’s Extreme Sell Off: Market Commentary from Cabana’s CEO – March 2, 2020
Today we are seeing the start of an expected bounce in stocks from extreme oversold conditions. We mentioned this in greater detail in the Special Report we put out over the weekend. We will watch closely over the next few days to find out if the market can hammer out a meaningful bottom. I do… Read the full article.
In response to a truly extraordinary and painful week in the world equity markets, I believe it is appropriate to update all those who have entrusted us with their hard earned money on where we stand following the drop from all-time highs in the broad U.S. markets that began on February 19. I also think it is… Read the full article.
Dow Plunges as Coronavirus Spreads to South Korea, Iran and Italy: Market Commentary from Cabana’s CEO – February 24, 2020
As soon as we mentioned the first sign that the coronavirus was impacting earnings (Apple lowered forward guidance), the virus broke out of general containment in China and began rapidly spreading into South Korea, Iran and Italy. This news provided a significant psychological impetus over the weekend to sell risk assets in the belief that we… Read the full article.
Earnings have continued to drive equity prices higher throughout the first half of February. This has occurred in the face of a variety of external threats, including ongoing domestic political upheaval and a worldwide coronavirus epidemic. As always, it is earnings that drive prices. The rest is just noise until the noise begins to impact… Read the full article.
Q4 Earnings Continue to Beat Expectations and Provide Investors with Hope: Market Commentary from Cabana’s CEO – February 11, 2020
U.S. corporate earnings continue to roll in beating expectations on both the revenue and sales side. The S&P 500 earnings growth rate remains at 8% annually, while year over year fourth quarter earnings saw an increase of 0.7% (according to FactSet). This is the first positive YOY quarterly growth in the S&P 500 since 2018…. Read the full article.
The Emotional Stock Market vs. the Wise Old Bond Market: Market Commentary from Cabana’s CEO – February 4, 2020
Last week, we discussed the coronavirus outbreak and implications it might have on markets going forward. I provided some statistics related to previous epidemics and the historical response to those by equity markets worldwide. That data is inconclusive at best. I ended the commentary by pointing out that this current medical crisis (like all worldwide events) does not… Read the full article.
On December 20, 2019, the Setting Every Community Up for Retirement Enhancement (“SECURE”) Act was signed into law effective January 1, 2020. This legislation brought about many significant and sweeping changes to our tax and retirement laws. The four primary takeaways and planning opportunities that may affect you are as follows: 1. The required minimum… Read the full article.
Just as quickly as the drumbeats of war with Iran quieted, we became overwhelmed with news of a rapidly spreading potential pandemic coronavirus. The virus started in China and has now been found in numerous countries around the world, including the United States. It is currently projected to be less severe than the SARS virus, which… Read the full article.