Market insight and a highlight of Cabana’s year-to-date performance:
Cabana’s seven portfolios range from “Conservative” to “Aggressive” and include an income strategy and an “Accumulator” portfolio. Performance is as of market close on February 12, 2018 and is presented net of maximum advisory fees and commissions.
All Cabana Portfolios, with the exception of the Conservative, were down modestly for the week, in follow up to the steep selloff that began on February 2. At its bottom the broad U.S. Equity markets were down 11% from the January high. Bond markets didn’t fare much better, as sharply rising yields were the underlying impetus. The 20-year duration long bond was down 4%. I am happy to report that all of Cabana’s Portfolios outperformed the markets and remained within their target drawdown parameters, despite the huge and sudden spike in volatility. I will not belabor my commentary on January 30 or February 6, but I believe this selloff was needed and a long time coming. Moreover, it was due to concerns over economic strength rather than weakness. Yes, the national debt is out of hand, the Fed is selling more and more bonds to pay for it, and interest rates are going to rise BUT the fact of the matter is, corporate earnings are rising and interest rates are still near all-time lows. Cash is not a viable option with nominal rates still very low and bonds don’t pay as much as stock dividends. Real estate doesn’t like rising rates as a rule. Commodities are likely to do well late cycle and in a rising rate environment, but I am not sure we are there yet. It is all about relative value and money flows to assets with the best yield relative to perceived risk. In my humble opinion, stocks still look good compared to everything else.
Reallocation of Portfolios this Week:
As each of you know, we don’t make predictions beyond my thoughts outlined above. We follow a rules-based system. Accordingly, we are now responding to the sheer violence of the pullback and the corresponding shift in our algorithm by reallocating to more defensive positions. This reallocation took place by market close on Tuesday, February 13 in all of Cabana’s portfolios, except for the Alpha Income. This reflects our basic underlying tenant – strive to not lose money and when in doubt, be conservative. I believe this market will digest the rising rates and increased volatility over the next weeks and return to an uptrend, but we will be prepared if that is not the case, and the market tells us something that is not yet showing up in the economic data. Never disregard the collective wisdom of the market.
Cabana’s algorithm, which all of our portfolios use, is designed to evaluate market conditions and allocate investments with the goal of reducing exposure to potential market declines. Cabana invests in those assets that its algorithm determines to be particularly attractive at a given time. The reallocation that occurred this week is in response to the algorithm’s evaluation of the current market.
Year-to-date net-of-fees performance:
BALANCED: -1.42 %
ALPHA INCOME: -2.19%
Performance is presented net of the maximum advisory fees and commissions (2%). Numbers indicated with (+) for positive return and (-) for negative return.
-G. Chadd Mason, CEO
By using this website and or blog, or making a purchase, user agrees as follows:
All written content on http://cabanaportfolio.com website (the “Website”) is for informational purposes only. The material presented is believed to be from reliable sources and no representations are made by CABANA, LLC (d/b/a “Cabana Asset Management”), Cabana Law Group, or Cabana Financial, LLC (collectively, “Cabana”) or its affiliates as to another parties’ informational accuracy or completeness. All information or ideas provided should be discussed in detail with an advisor, accountant or legal counsel prior to implementation. No party, including but not limited to, Cabana and its affiliates, assumes liability for any loss or damage resulting from errors or omissions or reliance on or use of this material.
The views and opinions expressed are those of the authors do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of Cabana or its affiliates. Any content provided by our bloggers or authors are of their opinion, and are not intended to malign any religion, ethnic group, club, organization, company, individual or anyone or anything.
Information presented is believed to be current. It should not be viewed as personalized investment advice. All expressions of opinion reflect the judgment of the authors on the date of publication and may change in response to market conditions. You should consult with a professional advisor before implementing any strategies discussed. Content should not be viewed as an offer to buy or sell any of the securities mentioned or as legal or tax advice. You should always consult an attorney or tax professional regarding your specific legal or tax situation.
Viewers or recipients of the information herein that do not agree with the term and conditions of use, should not utilize this website or any information contained herein. Decisions based on information contained herein are the sole responsibility of the person viewing the website. In exchange for utilizing the information on this website, the visitor agrees to indemnify and hold Cabana Asset management, its officers, directors, employees, affiliates, agents, licensors and suppliers harmless against any and all claims, losses, liability, costs and expenses (including but not limited to attorneys’ fees) arising from the use of this website, violation of these terms or from any decisions that the viewer makes based on such information.
Cabana Asset Management (“CAM”) is a U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Registered Investment Advisor (RIA) pursuant to the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 with headquarters in Fayetteville, AR. CAM’S internet communications are limited to the dissemination of general information pertaining to its investment advisory and financial planning services. Accordingly, CAM does not, and will not, effect or attempt to effect transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, over the Internet. All such information is provided solely for convenience purposes only and all users thereof should be guided accordingly. CAM may only transact business in those states in which it is registered, or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion from registration requirements. Further written disclosure information contained in SEC form ADV Part II, including registration status, fees, and services, is available upon written request. Investment advice can only be rendered after the execution of Advisory Agreement between you and CAM and the delivery of CAM’s SEC Form ADV, Part II to you.
All performance returns are presented net-of-fees and include the reinvestment of dividends and capital gains. Benchmark comparisons are presented gross-of-fees.
Past performance may not be indicative of future returns. No current or prospective client should assume that the future performance of any specific investment or strategy will be profitable or equal to past performance levels.
All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. All strategies have different degrees of risk. There is no guarantee that any specific investment or strategy will be suitable or profitable for a particular client.
Historical performance results for investment indexes and/or categories typically do not show the impact of transaction and/or custodial charges or the deduction of an advisory fee, which may decrease historical performance results. There can be no assurances that a strategy will match or exceed its benchmark.
Some performance returns do not represent actual trading using client assets but were achieved through retroactive application of a model designed with the benefit of hindsight. Model returns have inherent limitations. Specifically, these returns do not represent actual trading and may not reflect the impact of material economic and market factors on the adviser’s decision-making if the adviser had actually managed the client’s money during this time frame.
Different types of investments involve higher and lower levels of risk. There is no guarantee that a specific investment or strategy will be suitable or profitable for an investor’s portfolio. There are no assurances that a portfolio will match or exceed any particular benchmark.
Cabana LLC manages assets on multiple custodial platforms. Performance results may vary based upon differences in associated costs and asset availability within the Cabana Model.