Cabana’s CEO Chadd Mason shares his unique perspective on the markets here and across the world every Monday.
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Worldwide equity markets remain volatile, with moves up or down more than 1% occurring regularly. Everything is still tied to interest rates. Investors saw some expected moderation in rising rates last week, but this morning we hit a new high in the 10-year Treasury bond. The yield is currently at 1.75% and a test of… Read the full article.
We spent much of last week reviewing the ongoing rise in interest rates, with a particular focus on how it may impact other asset classes. Our weekly commentary also suggested some possibilities on the continued advance going forward. On Friday, we conducted our monthly webinar for our advisor partners and provided data that set out… Read the full article.
It is always something. Right now, that something is the precipitous rise in interest rates. The all-important 10-year Treasury bond has now broken above resistance at the 1.5% to 1.6% level and appears to be holding the breakout. As we have discussed many times over the past weeks and months, we believe the big jump… Read the full article.
Volatility remains elevated across all markets as investors seek some equilibrium between forecasted growth and rising interest rates. Money continues to rotate out of technology and into traditional cyclical sectors, including energy, financials, and industrials. The Nasdaq has been down several weeks in a row and, despite a big rally yesterday, the trend continues. As… Read the full article.
Interest rates remain the primary focus of investors. The rapid increase in rates over the past six months reached a crescendo last week with the 10-Year Treasury yield breaching 1.6%. To put this in perspective, that benchmark rate has risen nearly 200% since August 2020. Most of the jump has occurred since the beginning of… Read the full article.
The broad-based U.S. equity indices (S&P 500) sold off again yesterday, which made five consecutive down days (note that we made up for some of these losses at market close today). The reason for the recent drops given by most analysts, is the continuing unabated rise in interest rates. The 10-year Treasury yield has now… Read the full article.
U.S. and international equity markets continue to move higher, albeit more slowly. Despite a slow rotation into cyclicals, which has been occurring over the past several months, technology continues to move forward. This could be evidence that investors aren’t completely convinced we are on the brink of reopening our society, or that investors truly believe… Read the full article.
World equity markets have quickly shrugged off the January swoon, as well as the perceived GameStop/Robinhood threat to the workings of financial markets. As we have pointed out many times, the things that really matter transcend opinion – and the vast majority of everything else is noise. So, what is it that really matters? Interest… Read the full article.
Equity markets dropped across the board last week. The pullback erased all gains seen earlier in January and resulted in a monthly loss of more than 1% for the S&P 500. We recently discussed the possibility of earnings not meeting the lofty expectation set by the markets over the past few months. The move straight… Read the full article.
We are about to see if the equity market’s fabulous run since the beginning of November is supported by reality. Earnings drive price and price tends to forecast earnings. Beginning tomorrow (and over the next few days) we are going to hear from some of the nation’s bellwether companies about how well they did during… Read the full article.
Markets resumed their uptrend today after Friday’s selling and the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday. The broad indices recovered last week’s losses and are again positive for the month. January is considered a good barometer for the rest of the year. If markets are positive to start the year, they usually end the year positive as… Read the full article.
Equity markets have begun the year in positive territory, continuing the move that started in early November. This is the result of investors projecting additional stimulus on the back of a Biden presidency and a Democrat-controlled Congress. We are seeing money move into cyclicals like transportation, industrials, and energy. This has occurred at the expense of… Read the full article.
I hope all our investment and advisor partners had a wonderful holiday week spent with family and loved ones. It is all that really matters at the end of the day. I also hope each of you are healthy, as are as those that you care about. That cannot be emphasized enough these days. U.S…. Read the full article.
Well… 2020 just can’t end soon enough for me. COVID just keeps coming – and in novel ways. We are now faced with the emergence of a new and particularly contagious strain that appeared in the UK over the past several weeks. The situation is bad enough that the entire country has shut down and travel… Read the full article.
U.S. equity markets continue to digest the sudden large gains seen in November. Major indices are essentially flat since December 1 and SPY has experienced four straight down days after hitting record highs on December 6. This makes for the longest consecutive losing streak in almost three months. However, all is not bad. Churning for… Read the full article.
U.S. equity markets continue to make (or hold near) all-time highs. Despite COVID-19 again running out of control throughout the country, investors look ahead to several proven vaccines in the process of being approved and distributed. It appears that will happen within a matter of weeks, if not days. We also anticipate some type of… Read the full article.
We just closed out an epic monthly rally in the broad U.S. equity indices. The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq were all up more than 10% for the month despite yesterday’s pullback. On November 15, stocks broke out of a two-month extremely volatile trading range. The previous high reached in early September by the S&P… Read the full article.
The past week has seen continued rotation into cyclical assets like industrials, materials, consumer discretionary, financials, and even beaten down energy. We have been watching for this since August when we first pointed out the divergence between big tech and everything else. We pointed out then that we would eventually need to see other sectors… Read the full article.
For a change this week, I’d like to provide some insight into what it means (good and bad) to have a rules-based process. There is a chart of the S&P 500 over the past three years for reference on Page 2 of this commentary. My idea for this week’s commentary comes as a result of… Read the full article.
Each week when I sit down to write our weekly commentary, I seem to exceed my previous week’s amazement at the world around us. We elected a new president (sort of). A Biden victory was expected to be bad for equity markets according to the majority of experts. So, what happened as soon as it… Read the full article.
